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JPY surges after surprise Bank of Japan rate hike

Explore the recent surge in the Japanese yen following an unexpected rate hike by the Bank of Japan. Understand the impact of this policy shift on USD/JPY and potential long-term forex reactions.

Sign reading "Bank of Japan"
Source: Shutterstock
Picture of Frank Kaberna
Frank Kaberna
Director of Strategy, Chicago

USD/JPY crashes to 150.000

The USD/JPY pair recently plummeted to 150.000, marking a steep downturn from just a few weeks ago when it traded above 160.00. This significant drop reflects a mixture of surprising central bank actions and shifting market sentiments, notably influenced by an unexpected rate hike from the Bank of Japan.

Bank of Japan surprise rate hike

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) unexpectedly raised interest rates from 0.1% to 0.25%, taking rates to their highest level since 2008. This decision has introduced considerable volatility into the forex markets and particularly bolstered the Japanese Yen against the US dollar.

Japanese rates near 0% since 1990s

Historically, Japan's interest rates have lingered near zero since the 1990s, making its recent rate hike more notable. The BoJ has traditionally maintained a dovish stance, making this hike a stark pivot which could signal a shift in its economic strategy amid global economic pressures.

US Fed set to cut interest rates

Conversely, the US Federal Reserve is anticipated to reduce interest rates, potentially by 50-100 basis points by the end of this year. This impending cut contrasts with the BoJ's actions, setting the stage for increased volatility and strategic shifts in the forex trading landscape.

Japanese economy not growing

Japan's economy has exhibited minimal to no growth in recent years, with GDP rates hovering around zero. This stagnation has been a part of the backdrop for the long period of low interest rates, complicating the BoJ's recent decision to tighten monetary policy.

Could dollar-yen hit 100.00?

Amid these dramatic shifts, speculation arises whether the USD/JPY could potentially fall to 100.00, revisiting lows not seen since early 2021. Such a scenario depends heavily on forthcoming economic data from both the US and Japan and respective central bank policies.

How to trade Japanese yen

  1. Open an account to get started, or practice on a demo account
  2. Choose your forex trading platform
  3. Open, monitor, and close positions on JPY pairs

Trading forex requires an account with a forex provider like tastyfx. Many traders also watch major forex pairs like EUR/USD and USD/JPY for potential opportunities based on economic events such as inflation releases or interest rate decisions. Economic events can produce more volatility for forex pairs, which can mean greater potential profits and losses as risks can increase at these times.

You can help develop your forex trading strategies using resources like tastyfx’s YouTube channel. Our curated playlists can help you stay up to date on current markets and understanding key terms. Once your strategy is developed, you can follow the above steps to opening an account and getting started trading forex.

Your profit or loss is calculated according to your full position size. Leverage will magnify both your profits and losses. It’s important to manage your risks carefully as losses can exceed your deposit. Ensure you understand the risks and benefits associated with trading leveraged products before you start trading with them. Trade using money you’re comfortable losing.

Reviewed by:
Glen Frybarger
Senior Content Strategist, Chicago