• AUD/USD
    SELL
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    BUY
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    CHG
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  • EUR/GBP
    SELL
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    BUY
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    CHG
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  • EUR/JPY
    SELL
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    BUY
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    CHG
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  • EUR/USD
    SELL
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    BUY
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    CHG
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  • GBP/USD
    SELL
    -
    BUY
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    CHG
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  • USD/CAD
    SELL
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    BUY
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    CHG
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  • USD/CHF
    SELL
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    BUY
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    CHG
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  • USD/JPY
    SELL
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    BUY
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    CHG
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USD/CHF price analysis: dollar crashes to 0.8600 as investors go risk-off

Explore why the USD/CHF plummeted to 0.8600 as investors turn to safer assets amid growing economic uncertainties. Uncover the factors driving this significant forex movement.

Swiss flag
Source: Bloomberg
Picture of Frank Kaberna
Frank Kaberna
Director of Strategy, Chicago

Key Points

  • USD/CHF experienced a substantial reduction, declining over 2% during the week of July's Nonfarm Payroll data release.
  • The Swiss franc has strengthened against major global currencies such as GBP, EUR, and AUD due to increased demand for safe haven assets.
  • USD/CHF is approaching a significant low at 0.8600, nearing its weakest point since 2015, when Switzerland depegged its currency in a significant policy shift.
  • Anticipated aggressive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in response to worsening US economic data are negatively impacting USD demand.

USD/CHF price graph YTD

USD/CHF down more than 200 pips

The USD/CHF pair experienced a significant decline, falling over 2% during the week when July's Nonfarm Payroll data was released. The unexpectedly soft employment data prompted investors to shift to a risk-off mode, opting for safer assets and impacting the dollar's strength negatively.

Swiss franc playing flight-to-quality role

In recent trading sessions, the Swiss franc (CHF) has appreciated against major currencies like the GBP, EUR, and AUD, as concerns over a potential global recession intensify. This trend highlights the CHF’s role as a 'flight-to-quality' asset, where investors turn to it during times of market uncertainty.

USD/CHF nears lowest prices since 2015

At 0.8600, the USD/CHF pair is approaching its lowest level since 2015, when it briefly breached 0.8000. This significant milestone comes almost a decade after Switzerland's decision to unpeg its currency, reflecting ongoing pressures that continue to influence its valuation.

US dollar falling due to interest rate cut potential

Recent deteriorating economic indicators in the US are heightening expectations that the Federal Reserve might implement substantial rate cuts to fend off a looming recession. This prospect has led to reduced demand for the USD as traders anticipate a softer monetary policy stance.

How to trade USD/CHF

  1. Open an account to get started, or practice on a demo account
  2. Choose your forex trading platform
  3. Open, monitor, and close positions on USD/CHF

Trading forex requires an account with a forex provider like tastyfx. Many traders also watch major forex pairs like EUR/USD and USD/JPY for potential opportunities based on economic events such as inflation releases or interest rate decisions. Economic events can produce more volatility for forex pairs, which can mean greater potential profits and losses as risks can increase at these times.

You can help develop your forex trading strategies using resources like tastyfx’s YouTube channel. Our curated playlists can help you stay up to date on current markets and understanding key terms. Once your strategy is developed, you can follow the above steps to opening an account and getting started trading forex.

Your profit or loss is calculated according to your full position size. Leverage will magnify both your profits and losses. It’s important to manage your risks carefully as losses can exceed your deposit. Ensure you understand the risks and benefits associated with trading leveraged products before you start trading with them. Trade using money you’re comfortable losing.

Reviewed by:
Glen Frybarger
Senior Content Strategist, Chicago